Picking a Bracket: Pomeroy + LRMC = Elite 8 - Part 3

Taking a quick peek back at Part 1, there is a certain profile that Elite 8 teams have when looking at their composition of Ken Pomeroy's offensive and defensive efficiency (OE & DE), as well as the LRMC model.  Here is what an ideal candidate profile looks like:

• LRMC ranking of 30 or less
• OE and DE rankings of 40 or less

Each of the teams who fit that profile are highlighted in green:

.			KenPom Rank
.	Team	LRMC Rank	Off. Eff.	Def. Eff.
.	Kentucky	1	2	6
.	Ohio St.	2	7	1
.	Kansas	3	8	8
.	Michigan St.	4	11	3
.	North Carolina	5	13	12
.	Wichita St.	6	10	18
.	Missouri	7	1	76
.	Syracuse	8	14	15
.	Belmont	9	12	78
.	Memphis	10	19	11
.	Indiana	11	4	58
.	Duke	12	9	62
.	Wisconsin	13	24	4
.	New Mexico	14	32	13
.	Georgetown	15	47	7
.	Vanderbilt	16	17	31
.	Baylor	17	15	34
.	Marquette	18	25	19
.	Saint Louis	19	36	10
.	Long Beach St.	20	54	38
.	Gonzaga	24	42	35
.	UNLV	27	56	28
.	Kansas St.	29	44	17
.	California	30	50	21
.

Per Part 1 , over the past three years, of the teams who improved their OE and DE during the tournament, the DE (+13) was done so at a higher average than the OE (+9).  This might lead me to believe teams will have more opportunity to step up their DE up during the tournament to a greater degree than OE.  That said, of the second tier teams (yellow), a couple of teams who might have the better chance to make the Elite 8 are Indiana and Duke.

Based on this info, and applying it to the brackets, here would be the safest Elite 8 picks:

• South: Kentucky (1) and Baylor (3)
• West: Michigan State (1) and Marquette (3)
• East: Syracuse (1) and Ohio State (2)
• Midwest: UNC (1) and Kansas (2)

The picks I've bolded I have the most confidence in based on how the bracket is set up.  Here is what the non-bolded teams potentially face in their round of 32 and Sweet 16 match-ups:

• Kentucky: Wichita State (5) and Indiana (4)
• Michigan State: Memphis (8), St. Louis (9) and New Mexico (5)
• Syracuse: Kansas State (8), Vanderbilt (5) and Wisconsin (4)